If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. Its translated to repeated success in this event as well, as Hahn has made it through the cut here in four of the last five years, with five top-25 finishes since 2013, most recently finishing top-10 here in 2021. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Hes just six starts removed from gaining nearly six strokes to the field on approach in Houston, and if he has anywhere close to that result with his elite off-the-tee game, plus his prowess on grainy Bermuda greens, he can absolutely follow Chris Kirk as back-to-back Georgia Bulldog victories. Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Three sleeper picks to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, including Tommy Fleetwood at 80/1, Ratings for LIV Golf's 2023 TV debut are in and they aren't pretty, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images). Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. The Argentinian was right in the mix all week and tied for second. Now its Rorys turn. Kings vs. Thunder prediction and odds for Tuesday, February 28 (Fade OKC again), MLB rumors: Gavin Lux, Manny Machado, insider info on 2 recent free-agent signings, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 tee times, field, purse, odds and how to watch, LIV Golf Ratings Hold Steady at Horrid For Final Round of LIV Mayakoba, Honda Classic purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [Updated], Honda Classic live bets and odds ahead of Round 3, Its about time for a PGA-LPGA team event. Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? Skip to main content. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). It has to be noted that Lowry is a former winner at the Honda and the field was lacking talent, but he still played well enough that a jump to +6500 is a bit of stretch, especially since hes got four competitive rounds of Florida golf under his belt while most of the best players in this tournament will be adjusting from West Coast golf. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Lack: Sungjae Im (33-1, BetMGM) This is a pure situational fade for me. American Express: Cameron Young. World No. Keegan is also one of the best in proximity on Par 3:150-200 yards, so he should have what it takes to survive the infamous Bear Trap, which features two par 3s measuring 179 and As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. Jon Rahm is the betting favorite this week at +700, just ahead of Rory McIlroy at +950 and Scottie Scheffler at +1000. Scheffler won last year at 5 under, beating Viktor Hovland, Tyrrell Hatton and Billy Horschel and by one stroke. Rory McIlroy has become a horse at The Kings place, finishing 13th or better in seven of eight appearances. PGA West has typically been a good place to bet longshots, so our golf analysts are taking some shots down the board for their favorite outright bets. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+650, DraftKings) Can you stop taking the fun out of outright golf betting, Jon Rahm? CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. The PGA Tour board on Tuesday night ratified a radical new approach for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed. For a deeper dive into the course, read myArnold Palmer Invitational preview. American Express: Brian Harman. Heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and Bubba Watson four of the last five champions at Riviera were priced at 50/1 or longer, with Holmes available at 140/1 in some places. PGA $1M Pitch & Putt: Because theres variance at work at Bay Hill given the complexity of the conditions and the wind, theres a chance to win big in the $1 million contest this week if you fall on the right side of the carnage. Again, Willy Z just brings out his best stuff whenever he has the best in the world around him, so betting him for a Top 10 which he did in 2021 only feels right. Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. The results make sense, considering a profile of elite ball striking from deficient putters has been the formula historically at this event across winners like Hideki Matsuyama, Kyle Stanley, and Kevin Stadler. After spending last year on the Korn Ferry Tour, An has not missed the cut in five starts in 2023 and is coming off a T21 finish at the Honda Classic, where he was hanging around the top-5 heading into Sunday. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with PGA Tour picks, Bradley finished alone in 2nd at Torrey Pines this season and tied for 20th a week later in Phoenix, so hes trending up despite missing the cut at Riviera. But despite all that, there is still one longshot whos made his way onto my outright card anyway, and its this man right here. Houston Open: Jason Day. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. Farmers: Jason Day. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. I think in what has been a battle of titans early in the year, Rory puts his hat in the ring with a win. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. 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Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. Ill always look Steeles way on a course with straightforward greens complexes that mitigate any edge from stronger putters, and instead put a premium on ball striking. Keegan Bradley looks on during the final round of the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines in San Diego. A couple of so-so performances later, and Kim is flying under the radar a bit. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/arnold-palmer-invitational-odds-sleeper-picks-tommy-fleetwood/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, PGA Tour approves radical schedule changes, reducing fields in elevated events and ending cuts, Drivers used by PGA Tour pros ranked in the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. For example, Kim was one of the most popular up-and-comers out of the gates in 2023. You may not want to back the Merseysider in tournaments that will require you to score 20-under par, but this kind of set-up is right up his alley. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) The concerns over Zalatoris health appear to be over after his immaculate ball-striking performance at The Genesis two weeks back. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. We hate touts. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Hes third in weighted SG/approach over the past year, fourth in wSG/off the tee and 11th in par-5 scoring, per RickRunGood.com (weighted strokes-gained numbers factors in field strength). I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship Lack: Hideki Matsuyama (66-1, BetMGM) This is a pure number play for me, as in my opinion, Hideki Matsuyama is a bonafide top-20 player in the world, despite the betting markets not treating him like one. Admittedly, Im a sucker for Viktor Hovland but I love all the trends Im seeing. And with high winds in the forecast it may very well come down to a scrambling contest before crowning a winner in the single digits under par. I like him to contend, and this number is probably higher than it should be with Schefflers recent win and the win here last year. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. Instead, McDonald is jumping on several severalunderdogs, including two MASSIVE longshots of well over 80-1! Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. Based on the odds, lets look at some golf Lets take a look at some players down the board who could turn some heads at Bay Hill this week: Like in any sport, a big part in finding success in golf betting comes down to timing and noticing patterns. But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. Powers, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (-120) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) Keegans Bay Hill record is as good as anybodys in this field not named Rory McIlroy, and hes coming in in fine form. Over the last 20 rounds, Rory is actually gaining 0.2 strokes more tee-to-green than Rahm but the putter has been a bit cold. Still, it was a profitable week at the Honda and we move forward. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Xander Schauffele (24-1, FanDuel) Bay Hill is a demanding test overall, and Schauffele has an all-around game thats as good as anyones. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, Not only did he finish T2 at Bay Hill last year, a place where course history is key, but he gained strokes in every category for the week, including 9.18 ball striking. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. TPC Scottsdale is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost. Given that he also has a win and a T2 in his past three starts here, I think he asserts himself on the leaderboard this week. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. Hennessey: Keith Mitchell This is a bolder call, but I can afford to be a little bold after getting a win from Chris Kirk last week. The US Masters is scheduled for the first full week in April and as such, is the first of golf's four majors played each calendar year. Skip to navigation. Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. managing editor: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) This is inching toward a community bet, and golf betting isnt that easy. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. Looking at past winners, the average winning odds of the last five winners is +15900, with Jim Herman being the longest in 2020 at +60000 and Henrik Stenson having the shortest odds in 2017 at +1400. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. follow. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. With all the top PGA Tour stars teeing it up again this week, the betting favorites share a lot of similarities with the very top of the Official World Golf Ranking. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. 3 Jon Rahm once again earns the title of top betting favorite, with +750 odds-to-win. READ MORE: Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, Former Masters champ is our long-shot bet in LA: 2023 Genesis Invitational odds, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 1 groupings for Thursday, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Absolutely horrendous: Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hills juicy rough, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, Is a 7-wood, 3-hybrid or 3-iron most suitable for your game? Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keith Mitchell (50-1, Bet365) Mitchell proved he can hang with the big guns at Riviera, and he didnt have his A game on approach. Kirk will take home the top Like comment Flip And while Fleetwood has yet to win in the U.S., he does boast 21 top-10 finishes in his career and 33% of those have come in Florida, including three at this very course. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. His last two trips to Bay Hill havent been great (61st in 2022 and 43rd in 21), however, he finished 5th in 2020 and 6th in 2019. Gilliam County. Hes trending toward another victory. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. Playing in the Presidents Cup last September may have helped Conners further acclimate to the crowd atmosphere in store this week. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out! 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Wish it wouldve been his win at the Genesis but I still think he has win equity again this week and Im ready to burn him as a OaD play this week at Bay Hill. For us this week, that man is Adam Scott. ESPN+. Latest Pre-Live FanDuel Massachusetts Promo: $100 Instantly! Steeles course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11 years. Im no longer concerned about the injury as hes proven to look good recently, gaining 1.41 strokes tee-to-green over his last 20 rounds and coming up with a T4 at Riviera. If its a loaded field and Will Zalatoris is betting, Im going to look for ways to get him on my card. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. Top 40 Parlay: Chris Kirk and Tyrrell Hatton to both finish Top 40 (+179). To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. Riley Hamel. Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. Jon Rahm (+750)Rory McIlroy (+1000)Scottie Scheffler (+1000)Justin Thomas (+1600)Xander Schauffele (+1600)Max Homa (+1800)Tony Finau (+1800)Collin Morikawa (+2200)Patrick Cantlay (+2500)Sungjae Im (+2500)Sam Burns (+2800)Viktor Hovland (+2800)Cameron Young (+3300)Hideki Matsuyama (+4000)Jason Day (+4000)Jordan Spieth (+4000)Matt Fitzpatrick (+4000)Tom Kim (+4000)Tyrrell Hatton (+4000)Will Zalatoris (+4000). This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. (Photo: Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via AP Images). Hahn is a volatile player who wont jump off the stat sheet, but with top-10 finishes last season at TPC Twin Cities and TPC Craig Ranch, hes beginning to show a trend in favoring the TPC-style, risk-reward layouts. Last weeks PGA TOUR golf sleepers article produced a contender in Ben Martin at longshots odds, and well set out to find more diamonds in the rough again as we shift focus to Phoenix. >. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. Robby Shelton finished T21 as a heartbreaker for our Top 20 bet but we were strong in hitting Shane Lowry as a Top 10 and Lowry over Sungjae Im in a matchup. WebThe Echo Hills Golf Course is bordered on two sides by the town and on the other sides by farmland. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau World No. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. Hes seen tangible improvements with the putter, gaining 21.07 strokes over his last 17 startscompared to losing 20.66 strokes in the 17 starts prior. He will in all likelihood lose strokes putting at Bay Hill this week as well. Its even more encouraging to see that Conners has found early success on these greens, gaining strokes putting in two of his first three appearances at this event. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the leaderboard by Sunday this. Recipe for a Florida Swing heater and Comp course History in these conditions make a. Elevated events of 2023 beating Viktor Hovland, Tyrrell Hatton and Billy Horschel and by one.! A community bet, and golf betting isnt that easy a pure situational fade me... 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